Captain Justice posted:
Russia Planning Troops Deployment On Iran's Northern Border And
Waiting
For A Western Attack
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article31069.htm
By F. Michael Maloof
April 12, 2012 "Information Clearing House" --- WASHINGTON – The
Russian military anticipates that an attack will occur on Iran by the
summer and has developed an action plan to move Russian troops
through
neighboring Georgia to stage in Armenia, which borders on the Islamic
republic, according to informed Russian sources.
Russian Security Council head Viktor Ozerov said that Russian General
Military Headquarters has prepared an action plan in the event of an
attack on Iran.
Dmitry Rogozin, who recently was the Russian ambassador to the North
Atlantic Treaty Organization, or NATO, warned against an attack on
Iran.
"Iran is our neighbor," Rogozin said. "If Iran is involved in any
military action, it's a direct threat to our security." Rogozin now
is
the deputy Russian prime minister and is regarded as anti-Western. He
oversees Russia's defense sector.
Russian Defense Ministry sources say that the Russian military
doesn't
believe that Israel has sufficient military assets to defeat Iranian
defenses and further believes that U.S. military action will be
necessary.
The implication of preparing to move Russian troops not only is to
protect its own vital regional interests but possibly to assist Iran
in
the event of such an attack.
Sources add that a Russian military buildup in the region could
result
in the Russian military potentially engaging Israeli forces, U.S.
forces, or both.
Informed sources say that the Russians have warned of "unpredictable
consequences" in the event Iran is attacked, with some Russians
saying
that the Russian military will take part in the possible war because
it
would threaten its vital interests in the region.
The influential Russian Nezavisimaya Gazeta newspaper has quoted a
Russian military source as saying that the situation forming around
Syria and Iran "causes Russia to expedite the course of improvement
of
its military groups in the South Caucasus, the Caspian, Mediterranean
and Black Sea regions."
This latest information comes from a series of reports and leaks from
official Russian spokesmen and government news agencies who say that
an
Israeli attack is all but certain by the summer.
Because of the impact on Russian vital interests in the region,
sources
say that Russian preparations for such an attack began two years ago
when Russian Military Base 102 in Gyumri, Armenia, was modernized. It
is
said to occupy a major geopolitical position in the region.
Families of Russian servicemen from the Russian base at Gyumri in
Armenia close to the borders of Georgia and Turkey already have been
evacuated, Russian sources say.
"Military Base 102 is a key point, Russia's outpost in the South
Caucasus," a Russian military source told the newspaper. "It occupies
a
very important geopolitical position, but the Kremlin fears lest it
should lose this situation."
With Vladimir Putin returning to the Russian presidency, the prospect
that he again would order an attack on Georgia as he did in August
2008
also has become a possibility, these informed sources say.
The Russians believe that Georgia would cooperate with the United
States
in blocking any supplies from reaching Military Base 102, which now
is
supplied primarily by air. Right now, Georgia blocks the only land
transportation route through which Russian military supplies could
travel.
Fuel for the Russian base in Armenia comes from Iran. Russian
officials
believe this border crossing may be closed in the event of a war.
"Possibly, it will be necessary to use military means to breach the
Georgian transport blockade and establish transport corridors leading
into Armenia," according to Yury Netkachev, former deputy commander
of
Russian forces in Transcaucasia. Geography of the region suggests
that
any such supply corridor would have to go through the middle of
Georgia
approaching Georgia's capital of Tbilisi given the roads and
topography
of the country.
In September, the Russian military plans to hold its annual military
exercises called Kavkaz 2012. However, informed Russian sources say
that
preparations and deployments of military equipment and personnel
already
have begun in anticipation of a possible war with Iran.
These sources report that new command and control equipment has been
deployed in the region capable of using the Russian GPS system,
GLONASS
for targeting information.
"The air force in the South Military District is reported to have
been
rearmed almost 100 percent with new jets and helicopters," according
to
regional expert Pavel Felgenhauer of the Washington-based Jamestown
Foundation.
In 2008, Felgenhauer pointed out, Kavkaz 2008 maneuvers allowed the
Russian military to covertly deploy forces that successfully invaded
Georgia in August of that year.
Defense Minister Anatoly Serdyukov already has announced that new
Spetznaz, or Special Forces units, will be deployed in Stavropol and
Kislovodsk, which are located in the North Caucasian regions.
Russian sources say that the Russian military believes that if the
U.S.
goes to war with Iran, it may deploy forces into Georgia and warships
in
the Caspian Sea with the possible help of Azerbaijan, which since has
stated that it will not allow its territory to be used by Israel to
launch an attack on neighboring Iran.
There had been speculation that given the improved relations between
Israel and Azerbaijan, the Jewish state may use bases from which to
launch air attacks on neighboring Iran's nuclear sites. Israel
recently
agreed to sell Azerbaijan $1.6 billion in military equipment.
A further irritant to Georgia's President Mikhail Saakashvili is the
prospect that Russian assault airborne troops, or VDV units, with
helicopters could be moved into Georgia's two breakaway provinces of
Abkhazia and South Ossetia. These two provinces were taken by the
Russian military during the August 2008 Russian-Georgian war.
Initially
they were declared by Moscow to be independent countries, but now the
Kremlin is indicating they may be annexed to Russia.
Similarly, Lt. General Vladimir Shamanov, commander of the VDV, has
announced that Russian troops in Armenia will be reinforced by
paratroopers, along with attack and transport helicopters.
"The Russian spearhead (from the Transcaucasia region) may be ordered
to
strike south to prevent the presumed deployment of U.S. bases in
Transcaucasia, to link up with the troops in Armenia and take over
the
South Caucasus energy corridor along which Azeri, Turkmen and other
Caspian natural gas and oil may reach European markets," Felgenhauer
said.
"By one swift military strike, Russia may ensure control of all the
Caucasus and the Caspian states that were its former realm,
establishing
a fiat accompli the West, too preoccupied with Iran, would not
reverse,"
he said.
"At the same time, a small victorious war would unite the Russian
nation
behind the Kremlin, allowing it to crush the remnants of the
prodemocracy movement 'for fair elections,' and as a final bonus,
Russia's military action could perhaps finally destroy the
Saakashvili
regime."
Putin has made no secret that he despises Saakashvili and with his
return to the presidency, he may consider taking out the Georgian
president as unfinished business. Just as in 2008, Putin will not
have
much to worry about if he sends Russian troops into Georgia, since
there
was muted reaction from the U.S. and the European countries to the
Russian invasion and subsequent occupation.
F. Michael Maloof, staff writer for WND's G2Bulletin, is a former
senior
security policy analyst in the Office of the Secretary of Defense.
.
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article31069.htm
Post by AviroceNORTH KOREA:CHINA AS IRAN:RUSSIA
By Aviroce
North Korea is the boundary USA cannot cross. China sees North Korea
as the front defense against invasion from USA. It also enforces
Chinese policy internally and externally. Internally, by showing that
the wolf is coming to attack. Chinese will be unified against the
wolf. Externally, by putting limitations on the advancement of
Imperialism and Zionism. This policy by China should be followed by
the Russians in Iran. Destruction of Iran means destruction of
Russia. This nonsense that Russia should abstain or should not veto
Security Council resolution to attack Iran is merely nonsense assuming
the Russians have weakened to be trespassed upon by Imperialism and
Zionism. The Russian bear should not mind the shouts of the wolves as
these shouts are to defean the bear and cut its neck off. The Russian
bear should know and it knows how to deal with the advance of
Imperialism and Zionism. The wolves are wreaking havoc in Iraq,
Afghanistan, Pakistan, Palestine and Syria. Russian bear should not
listen to sounds of wolves. These sounds are of aggression and
aggression must be put to the test.
Aviroce